Hargreaves Lansdown (HL.)

Sector:

Financials

Index:

FTSE 250

1,055.50p
   
  • Change Today:
    -9.50p
  • 52 Week High: 1,120.00
  • 52 Week Low: 690.40
  • Currency: UK Pounds
  • Shares Issued: 474.32m
  • Volume: 3,586,957
  • Market Cap: £5,006m
  • RiskGrade: 176

Liberum sells Hargreaves Lansdown on "extreme" margin pressure

By Oliver Haill

Date: Thursday 04 Sep 2014

LONDON (ShareCast) - Liberum reiterated its 'sell' recommendation on savings and investment group Hargreaves Lansdown after weighing up the "extreme" pressure on income margin that was revealed in the company's results on Wednesday.

Analyst Justin Bates does see some upside risk from the launch of new cash products or obtaining a banking license, although the latter is at least 18 months away, but he saw downside risk from increasing competition, said the valuation was "too rich" and took a dim view of growth prospects.

"Herein lies the dilemma," he explained in a note on Thursday morning, pointing out that although average assets under management rose 33% year-on-year, net income was only up 8% and adjusted pre-tax profit only up 7%.

"The extreme margin pressure is depressing returns. Despite the attractive long-term asset gathering potential, we see further downward pressure on margins and therefore profits growth.

"We believe the business has reached a stage in its maturity where the 'new normal' for earnings per share growth is circa 10% per annum."

He does not think that justifies the company's price of 30 times forecast earnings - a 78% premium to the sector on 2014 numbers and 84% premium in 2015 - and also sees further margin pressure ahead.

Net income margin has fallen by 46% since 2006 and Bates said he expects further attrition, envisaging an 11% reduction in the full year and 6% fall in 2016.

While net inflows were good, as the business increases in size the absolute level of net inflow growth is having a smaller impact.

OH

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Note 1: Prices and trades are provided by Digital Look Corporate Solutions and are delayed by at least 15 minutes.

Note 2: RiskGrade figures are provided by RiskMetrics.

 

HL. Market Data

Currency UK Pounds
Share Price 1,055.50p
Change Today -9.50p
% Change -0.89 %
52 Week High 1,120.00
52 Week Low 690.40
Volume 3,586,957
Shares Issued 474.32m
Market Cap £5,006m
RiskGrade 176

HL. Star Ratings

Compare performance with the sector and the market.
more star ratings
Key: vs Market vs Sector
Value
71.22% below the market average71.22% below the market average71.22% below the market average71.22% below the market average71.22% below the market average
94.44% below the sector average94.44% below the sector average94.44% below the sector average94.44% below the sector average94.44% below the sector average
Price Trend
86.54% above the market average86.54% above the market average86.54% above the market average86.54% above the market average86.54% above the market average
84.48% above the sector average84.48% above the sector average84.48% above the sector average84.48% above the sector average84.48% above the sector average
Income
47.92% above the market average47.92% above the market average47.92% above the market average47.92% above the market average47.92% above the market average
34.33% below the sector average34.33% below the sector average34.33% below the sector average34.33% below the sector average34.33% below the sector average
Growth
14.59% above the market average14.59% above the market average14.59% above the market average14.59% above the market average14.59% above the market average
28.44% above the sector average28.44% above the sector average28.44% above the sector average28.44% above the sector average28.44% above the sector average

What The Brokers Say

Strong Buy 5
Buy 2
Neutral 3
Sell 5
Strong Sell 2
Total 17
neutral
Broker recommendations should not be taken as investment advice, and are provided by the authorised brokers listed on this page.

HL. Dividends

  Latest Previous
  Interim Final
Ex-Div 29-Feb-24 16-Nov-23
Paid 28-Mar-24 15-Dec-23
Amount 13.20p 28.80p

Trades for 31-May-2024

Time Volume / Share Price
16:42 890 @ 1,055.50p
16:41 586,726 @ 1,055.50p
16:41 32,917 @ 1,055.50p
16:40 7,994 @ 1,055.51p
16:36 681 @ 1,055.50p

HL. Key Personnel

CEO Dan Olley
CFO Amy Stirling
Chair Alison Platt

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