Hilton Food Group (HFG)

Sector:

Food

Index:

FTSE 250

494.00p
   
  • Change Today:
      14.50p
  • 52 Week High: 924.00p
  • 52 Week Low: 476.37p
  • Currency: UK Pounds
  • Shares Issued: 89.91m
  • Volume: 830,319
  • Market Cap: £444.13m
  • RiskGrade: 184

Broker tips: Games Workshop, Hiscox, Hilton Food

By Michele Maatouk

Date: Wednesday 12 Nov 2025

LONDON (ShareCast) - (Sharecast News) - Miniature wargames manufacturer Games Workshop surged on Wednesday after Jefferies hiked its price target on the stock to 18,300p from 11,850p and reiterated its 'buy' rating as it highlighted a "major opportunity".
"Although the success of Space Marine 2 (SM2) means GAW is set to report a year of profit decline in FY26, we think the consistent underlying growth trajectory in the Core (10yr/5yr CAGR +17%/+16%) underpins a reacceleration to double-digit profit growth in FY27," the bank said.

Further out, Jefferies sees SM2 as an indicator of Warhammer's "significant" mass-market potential and said it remains bullish about the opportunity presented by the Amazon TV series.

In a separate note, Jefferies double downgraded Hiscox to 'underperform'.

The bank said Hiscox Retail is pitched as an attractive earnings diversifier against Specialty insurance, "but this is not clear to us when studying the weaker return on equity to peers".

Jefferies said the retail and cost plan announced in May improves returns, but the gap to peers closes only in 2028.

"So, with past and prospective book value growth lagging peers, the cost of equity needs to better reflect this reality," the bank said.

Elsewhere, RBC Capital Markets slashed its price target on Hilton Food to 540p from 750p as the bank revised its mid-term estimates following the company's third-quarter trading update and profit warning a day earlier.

Shares in Hilton Food tumbled on Tuesday as it downgraded its full-year profit guidance and struck a downbeat tone on the outlook for trading in 2026, citing operational disruption and subdued demand.

The company said it now expects adjusted pre-tax profit for the financial year ending 28 December of between £72m and £75m. This is below company-compiled consensus of £76.8m to £81m in September.

Following the "downbeat" Q3 statement, RBC said it was reducing its top-line growth estimates for the company to reflect its salmon production in Greece being delayed.

"Our lower growth forecasts also take into account a softer consumer backdrop in Europe, which we observe across other consumer staples companies and sub-sectors," it said. "Additionally, with seafood prices remaining elevated, we do not expect a rapid volume recovery and more limited support from premiumisation."

The bank said it does not expect volume growth to turn positive until FY27.

"Given these, we forecast group revenue growth of +7.6%/+1.0%/+2.0% on a constant currency basis over FY25/FY26/FY27.

"We also bring down our EBIT margin estimates over the next three years, reflecting incremental costs of managing the European seafood business and a less positive mix."

RBC said its FY25 adjusted pre-tax profit estimate falls slightly to £72m, the bottom-end of the lowered guided range.

"We now expect no meaningful PBT growth in FY26, in line with guidance."

The bank maintained its 'sector perform' rating on the stock.

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Note 1: Prices and trades are provided by Digital Look Corporate Solutions and are delayed by at least 15 minutes.

Note 2: RiskGrade figures are provided by RiskMetrics.

 

HFG Market Data

Currency UK Pounds
Share Price 494.00p
Change Today 14.50p
% Change 3.02 %
52 Week High 924.00p
52 Week Low 476.37p
Volume 830,319
Shares Issued 89.91m
Market Cap £444.13m
RiskGrade 184

HFG Star Ratings

Compare performance with the sector and the market.
more star ratings
Key: vs Market vs Sector
Value
80.07% below the market average80.07% below the market average80.07% below the market average80.07% below the market average80.07% below the market average
76.92% below the sector average76.92% below the sector average76.92% below the sector average76.92% below the sector average76.92% below the sector average
Price Trend
8.9% below the market average8.9% below the market average8.9% below the market average8.9% below the market average8.9% below the market average
20% below the sector average20% below the sector average20% below the sector average20% below the sector average20% below the sector average
Income
54.75% above the market average54.75% above the market average54.75% above the market average54.75% above the market average54.75% above the market average
75.00% above the sector average75.00% above the sector average75.00% above the sector average75.00% above the sector average75.00% above the sector average
Growth
29.64% above the market average29.64% above the market average29.64% above the market average29.64% above the market average29.64% above the market average
61.54% above the sector average61.54% above the sector average61.54% above the sector average61.54% above the sector average61.54% above the sector average

What The Brokers Say

Strong Buy 5
Buy 1
Neutral 0
Sell 1
Strong Sell 0
Total 7
buy
Broker recommendations should not be taken as investment advice, and are provided by the authorised brokers listed on this page.

HFG Dividends

  Latest Previous
  Interim Final
Ex-Div 30-Oct-25 29-May-25
Paid 28-Nov-25 27-Jun-25
Amount 10.10p 24.90p

Trades for 21-Nov-2025

Time Volume / Share Price
16:35 28,000 @ 493.90p
16:35 130,005 @ 494.00p
16:35 1 @ 494.00p
16:35 800 @ 494.00p
16:35 967 @ 494.00p

HFG Key Personnel

CFO Matt Osborne

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