London close: FTSE drips amid trade worries, pound rally
By Oliver Haill
Date: Thursday 17 Jan 2019
(Sharecast News) - London stocks shivered lower on Thursday amid fresh concerns about global trade relations, worries about the domestic housing market and a late rally for the pound, but solid updates from the likes of Primark owner AB Foods and Sage Group helped to minimise losses.
The FTSE 100 gave up almost 28 points or 0.4% to 6,834.92, while the more UK-focused FTSE 250 was up 0.3% to 18,537.32. The pound was up 0.6% against the dollar to approach the 1.3 mark for the first time since mid-November and up 0.6% versus the euro at 1.1371.
Trade war fears were weighing on sentiment following reports that the US is investigating Chinese tech giant Huawei for stealing trade secrets from US business partners.
"It goes right to the heart of the unresolved IP issues with China. China is unlikely to shrug this off which is creating a risk-off environment," said London Capital Group analyst Jasper Lawler, adding that signs of retaliation from China could see stocks sink further.
On home turf, having survived Wednesday's no-confidence vote in her government, Theresa May will now work on her Brexit 'Plan B', which she has until 21 January to put forward. On Thursday morning she met opposition leaders and Brexiteers from her own party in Downing Street this morning after opening talks overnight.
CMC Markets analyst Michael Hewson said: "The general feeling in the markets remains that somehow MPs will be able to come together to be able to head off the prospect of the current default position of a no deal Brexit, however that theory is still likely to be severely tested in the coming days and weeks.
"The Prime Minister's insistence on sticking to the core outline of her failed deal can almost be compared to trying to resurrect a corpse, nonetheless she appears to be determined to stick to some of her predetermined red lines.
"For all of the available scenarios that are likely to be tested, an extension to article 50 likely to be top of the list however for that to happen the EU needs to be confident that MPs can coalesce around a deal that more than 321 of them can vote for in order to carry a majority in the House of Commons."
Housebuilding shares were almost all in the red in the face of a pretty bleak survey from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors, which showed that the outlook for the housing market over the next three months was the worst on record in December as uncertainty over Brexit took its toll.
The net balance of surveyors expecting sales to drop came in at its worst reading since the series began in 1999. Meanwhile, the net balance of surveyors reporting that house prices have risen over the last three months was the fourth consecutive negative reading and fell short of analysts' expectations.
Looking ahead, the outlook for prices over the next 12 months was broadly flat. With the exception of London and the South East, prices were anticipated to either rise or hold steady across the other UK regions over this time horizon.
RICS chief economist Simon Rubinsohn said: "It is hardly a surprise with ongoing uncertainty about the path to Brexit dominating the news agenda, that even allowing for the normal patterns around the Christmas holidays, buyer interest in purchasing property in December was subdued. This is also very clearly reflected in a worsening trend in near term sales expectations. Looking a little further out, there is some comfort provided by the suggestion that transactions nationally should stabilise as some of the fog lifts, but that moment feels a way off for many respondents to the survey."
Elsewhere, Whitbread lost ground as it confirmed that profits are likely to remain flat for the next year but said it will begin buying back £500m worth of shares after completing the sale of Costa Coffee earlier than expected. UK like-for-like sales in the third quarter were down 0.2% at its Premier Inns chain, slowing growth for the year to date to 2.5%.
ITV was the biggest faller on the FTSE 100 as it was hit by a downgrade to 'underperform' at Bank of America Merill Lynch, while EasyJet flew lower as Barclays slashed its price target and downgraded to 'underperform'.
Among the Footsie's heavyweight sectors, the oil giants were providing a drag.
Oil prices have bucked their recent uptrend, noted Chris Beauchamp, chief market analyst at IG, despite the larger than expected production cut from Saudi Arabia. "OPEC's monthly report signalled a clear problem for the cartel, for while they are cutting production, it is the non-OPEC nations which continue to raise production, increasing their market share. 2019 looks set to be dominated by the growing differential between demand and supply, with OPEC aware of the fact that at current levels there is too much global supply to prop up prices," he said.
Miners were mixed and banks were mostly lower, though one exception was RBS, which enjoyed a late spurt after revealing a proposal to begin buying back shares from the government via off-market purchases.
Elsewhere, Associated British Foods racked up strong gains as it maintained full-year guidance and reported revenue growth in the Christmas period in all of its businesses apart from sugar.
Accounting software group Sage pushed higher after it reiterated full-year guidance as it said first-quarter guidance organic revenue increased by 7.6% to £465m.
Ladbrokes owner GVC rose as it said it expects underlying core earnings to come in above market expectations, while Experian advanced as it posted a 9% jump in third-quarter revenue with particularly strong growth in North America, and backed its full-year guidance.
Just Eat rallied after an upgrade to 'overweight' at Morgan Stanley, while William Hill was boosted by an upgrade to 'buy' at Berenberg.
Ashtead, Compass Group, SSE, CYBG and Shaftesbury were among the companies whose stock went ex-dividend.
Market Movers
FTSE 100 (UKX) 6,834.92 -0.40%
FTSE 250 (MCX) 18,537.32 0.27%
techMARK (TASX) 3,347.92 -0.02%
FTSE 100 - Risers
Associated British Foods (ABF) 2,330.00p 6.98%
Sage Group (SGE) 625.00p 5.40%
GVC Holdings (GVC) 687.00p 2.08%
BT Group (BT.A) 232.20p 1.93%
United Utilities Group (UU.) 807.20p 1.79%
Experian (EXPN) 1,906.00p 1.79%
British American Tobacco (BATS) 2,512.50p 1.64%
Severn Trent (SVT) 1,929.50p 1.53%
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (RBS) 237.00p 1.37%
Johnson Matthey (JMAT) 2,979.00p 1.02%
FTSE 100 - Fallers
ITV (ITV) 129.10p -5.94%
Wood Group (John) (WG.) 541.20p -4.65%
SSE (SSE) 1,126.00p -3.31%
Standard Life Aberdeen (SLA) 262.40p -2.81%
Rolls-Royce Holdings (RR.) 864.00p -2.48%
3i Group (III) 817.00p -2.48%
RSA Insurance Group (RSA) 522.00p -2.39%
Hargreaves Lansdown (HL.) 1,772.00p -2.21%
NMC Health (NMC) 2,734.00p -2.08%
Ashtead Group (AHT) 1,869.00p -2.04%
FTSE 250 - Risers
Just Group (JUST) 96.35p 5.30%
Just Eat (JE.) 663.00p 4.97%
Syncona Limited NPV (SYNC) 256.50p 4.91%
Sanne Group (SNN) 543.00p 4.62%
Saga (SAGA) 105.90p 4.33%
Fisher (James) & Sons (FSJ) 1,870.00p 3.89%
FDM Group (Holdings) (FDM) 808.00p 3.59%
Pagegroup (PAGE) 455.40p 2.94%
Provident Financial (PFG) 535.00p 2.85%
TBC Bank Group (TBCG) 1,472.00p 2.77%
FTSE 250 - Fallers
Acacia Mining (ACA) 185.95p -3.05%
Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings (AML) 1,260.00p -2.64%
Rank Group (RNK) 149.00p -2.49%
Babcock International Group (BAB) 535.40p -2.23%
Games Workshop Group (GAW) 3,085.00p -2.06%
Senior (SNR) 211.40p -1.77%
Renishaw (RSW) 4,136.00p -1.67%
Centamin (DI) (CEY) 117.05p -1.56%
Hunting (HTG) 554.50p -1.51%
Hochschild Mining (HOC) 161.90p -1.49%
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