Portfolio

Week ahead: Global manufacturing, US non-farm payrolls

By Alexander Bueso

Date: Friday 27 Nov 2020

Week ahead: Global manufacturing, US non-farm payrolls

(Sharecast News) - The focus over the coming week will be on global manufacturing sector conditions during the month of November and the US labour market.
'Official' Chinese factory sector data will kick-off a stream of survey results on Monday, followed by a reading for the closely-followed private sector-compiled Caixin survey the next day.

Equivalent survey results are also due out in the UK, Euro area and US on Tuesday.

Thursday meanwhile will see the release of services sector surveys in all those regions, plus China, also referencing the month of November.

That barrage of survey findings will be capped off by a reading on US non-farm payrolls in November.

Consensus anticipates that the US economy will have generated 520,000 new jobs, following an increse of 638,000 in October.

To take note of however, some economists already anticipate that December will bring with it a negative reading in payrolls, as lockdowns further depress services sector activity, although for now faster growth in factories and construction are helping to more than offset that drug.

Hence, the debate around the need for increased US fiscal stimulus may resurface sooner rather than later.

"Strength in manufacturing and construction ought to offset the weakness in services in the November payroll numbers, just, but December now appears to be on course to see an absolute decline," Ian Shepherdson, chief economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, wrote in a research note sent to clients.

"The need for further policy easing ought to be obvious, though Congress apparently has better things to do."

Investors will also be keeping a close eye around what is - yet again - being described as a potentially 'make or break' week for Brexit negotiations.

Updates around the safety profile of some the leading Covid-19 vaccines are also a possibility to keep in mind.

Monday 30 November

INTERIMS

Civitas Social Housing , Discoverie Group, Draper Esprit, Foxtons Group , Omega Diagnostics Group, St James House , Victoria

INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE

LLoyds Banking Group 9.25% Non-Cum Irredeemable Pref Shares, LLoyds Banking Group 9.75% Non-Cum Irredeemable Pref Shares

QUARTERLY PAYMENT DATE

City of London Inv Trust, Custodian Reit , Picton Property Income Ltd

INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS

Chicago PMI (US) (14:45)

Import Price Index (GER) (07:00)

Pending Homes Sales (US) (15:00)

GMS

Henderson Alternative Strategies Trust

FINALS

Barloworld Ltd., Tharisa (DI), Zambeef Products

SPECIAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE

Henderson Alternative Strategies Trust

EGMS

BBGI Global Infrastructure S.A. NPV (DI)

AGMS

Advance Energy NPV, Europa Metals Ltd NPV (DI), Macau Property Opportunities Fund Ltd., Oncimmune Holdings, OPG Power Ventures, Pensana Rare Earths , Seeing Machines Ltd., Vast Resources

TRADING ANNOUNCEMENTS

Centralnic Group , Victoria

FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE

Jupiter UK Growth Investment Trust, New Star Investment Trust

Tuesday 01 December

INTERIMS

Bilby, Ince Group (The), Iomart Group, Mercia Technologies , Sosandar, Tekmar Group

INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE

Coca-Cola European Partners (DI), Investec Investment Trust 3 1/2% Cumulative Preference Stock

QUARTERLY PAYMENT DATE

JpMorgan China Growth & Income

INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS

Auto Sales (US) (23:30)

Construction Spending (US) (15:00)

ISM Manufacturing (US) (15:00)

ISM Prices Paid (US) (15:00)

PMI Manufacturing (GER) (08:55)

PMI Manufacturing (EU) (09:00)

PMI Manufacturing (US) (14:45)

Unemployment Rate (GER) (08:55)

FINALS

Gooch & Housego, Hyve Group

EGMS

Myanmar Strategic Holdings Limited NPV (DI)

AGMS

Aberdeen Standard Asia Focus , Aeorema Communications, BlackRock Greater Europe Inv Trust, Tristel

UK ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS

PMI Manufacturing (09:30)

FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE

EKF Diagnostics Holdings

Wednesday 02 December

INTERIMS

Augmentum Fintech, Loungers

INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE

BlackRock Smaller Companies Trust

INTERIM EX-DIVIDEND DATE

James Halstead 5.5% Cumulative Preference 1

INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS

Crude Oil Inventories (US) (15:30)

MBA Mortgage Applications (US) (12:00)

Producer Price Index (EU) (10:00)

Retail Sales (GER) (07:00)

Unemployment Rate (EU) (10:00)

GMS

Gunsynd

FINALS

Avon Rubber, Ixico, Residential Secure Income, Stock Spirits Group

AGMS

Brighton Pier Group (The), JPMorgan Global Markets Emerging Income Trust, Kingswood Holdings Limited, Target Healthcare Reit Ltd, Tri-Star Resources

UK ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS

BRC Shop Price Index (00:01)

PMI Construction (09:30)

FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE

Clinigen Group, London Finance & Investment Group

Thursday 03 December

INTERIMS

Clipper Logistics

INTERIM EX-DIVIDEND DATE

3i Group, Aberdeen Japan Investment Trust , Big Yellow Group, Cake Box Holdings, Caledonia Investments, Circle Property , CML Microsystems, Devro, Edge Performance VCT 'H' Shares, Finncap Group , First Property Group, Helical, Hill & Smith Holdings, Hochschild Mining, IG Design Group, Montanaro European Smaller Companies Trust, Pets at Home Group , RDI Reit , Record, Renold 6% Cum. Prfd., RHI Magnesita N.V. (DI), Severn Trent, Templeton Emerging Markets Inv Trust, Wynnstay Properties

QUARTERLY EX-DIVIDEND DATE

Contour Global , Premier Miton Global Renewables Trust, RM Secured Direct Lending, UIL Limited (DI)

INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS

Continuing Claims (US) (13:30)

Initial Jobless Claims (US) (13:30)

ISM Prices Paid (US) (15:00)

ISM Services (US) (15:00)

PMI Composite (EU) (09:00)

PMI Composite (GER) (08:55)

PMI Services (EU) (10:00)

PMI Services (GER) (08:55)

Retail Sales (EU) (10:00)

GMS

STV Group

FINALS

AJ Bell, CareTech Holding, Countryside Properties, Impax Asset Management Group, Oxford Metrics, Paragon Banking Group, Tritax Eurobox (GBP)

SPECIAL EX-DIVIDEND DATE

GCP Asset Backed Income Fund Limited, Templeton Emerging Markets Inv Trust

EGMS

B&M European Value Retail S.A. (DI), CEIBA Investments Limited NPV, PJSC Lukoil ADR

AGMS

Baillie Gifford Japan Trust, CQS New City High Yield Fund Limited, Ferguson, Jubilee Metals Group, Marwyn Value Investors Limited, Meikles Ltd., MJ Gleeson , Nanoco Group, Ormonde Mining, Pipehawk

UK ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS

PMI Services (09:30)

Retail Sales (23:01)

FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE

PZ Cussons

FINAL EX-DIVIDEND DATE

AVI Global Trust , Aviva 8 3/4% Cumulative Irrd Preference 1, Carr's Group, Daily Mail and General Trust A (Non.V), Fidelity Special Values, General Accident 'A', Pan African Resources, Rotork 9.5% Cum Prf. #1, Royal Bank of Scotland 11% Cum. Prf, Royal Bank of Scotland 5.5% Cum. Prf., Scottish Oriental Smaller Companies Trust, Town Centre Securities, YouGov

Friday 04 December

INTERIMS

Stenprop Limited

INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE

B&M European Value Retail S.A. (DI), Bloomsbury Publishing, Maruwa Co Ltd., New Century AIM VCT, ProVen Growth & Income VCT, ProVen VCT, Riverfort Global Opportunities , RSA Insurance Group, Scottish Mortgage Inv Trust, Vesuvius

QUARTERLY PAYMENT DATE

Honeywell International Inc., ICG Enterprise Trust, JPMorgan Claverhouse Inv Trust

INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS

Balance of Trade (US) (13:30)

Factory Orders (GER) (07:00)

Factory Orders (US) (15:00)

Non-Farm Payrolls (US) (13:30)

Unemployment Rate (US) (13:30)

GMS

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings, Hammerson

ANNUAL REPORT

Diploma

SPECIAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE

B&M European Value Retail S.A. (DI)

EGMS

Hellenic Telecom Industries SA ADS, KKV Secured Loan Fund Limited NPV, UK Mortgages Limited

AGMS

Abcam, Associated British Foods, Ruffer Investment Company Ltd Red PTG Pref Shares, VinaCapital Vietnam Opportunity Fund Ltd.

FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE

Sylvania Platinum Ltd (DI)

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