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Week ahead: UK employment, US government shutdown and bank earnings in focus

By Alexander Bueso

Date: Friday 10 Oct 2025

Week ahead: UK employment, US government shutdown and bank earnings in focus

(Sharecast News) - Investor focus over the coming week will be on the latest employment and gross domestic product data due out in the UK.
For City analyst Michael Hewson, the most recent wage data in the UK had shown that " expectations of a rapid slowing are still wide of the mark".

That, in turn, meant that rate cuts from the Bank of England in the near term were still less likely than the government might want, he explained.

"What we appear to be seeing is a slow deterioration in the labour market rather than a full crisis in confidence."

In the US meanwhile, there are as of yet scant signs that lawmakers on Capitol Hill are any closer to a resolution of the federal government shutdown.

Democrats continue to push for the White House to walk back changes to healthcare policies.

For his part, Trump is on record saying: "We're going to be cutting some very popular Democrat programs that aren't popular with Republicans, frankly.

"They wanted to do this, so we'll give them a little taste of their own medicine."

As an aside, the release of the US CPI report for September, which was expected on Wednesday, has been rescheduled for release on 24 October, regardless of the federal government shutdown. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, no other data reports would be rescheduled.

Investors will also be keeping a close eye on the ongoing US-China trade tensions.

Monday will bring with it the latest monthly foreign trade figures from China.

In parallel, the International Monetary Fund's autumn meetings will run between Monday and Saturday.

US financial markets will remain closed on Monday in observance of the Columbus Day holiday.

On the corporate side of things, come Tuesday heavyweight lenders JP Morgan Chase, Wells Fargo and Citigroup will kick off the third quarter reporting season in the US.

Bank of America and Morgan Stanley will follow on Wednesday.

"There's always a little nervousness when it comes to bank share prices as investors look for clues with respect to consumer spending, as well as loan demand at a time when US consumers are struggling with higher prices and possible spillover effects from tariffs," Hewson said.

"Recent earnings numbers have indicated there's been little evidence that US consumers are struggling significantly."

For his part, Interactive Investors's Head of Markets, Richard Hunter, chipped in saying: "overarching themes will include whether the strength of the second quarter in deal making and investment banking fees has continued, how trading income has fared given market volatility and the health of the consumer in terms of borrowing, where any signs of rising bad loans would provide a red flag on deteriorating economic conditions."

Monday 13 October

INTERIMS

1Spatial

INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE

Elecosoft Public Limited Company

FINALS

Tristel

SPECIAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE

Mony Group

AGMS

Feedback

TRADING ANNOUNCEMENTS

Jupiter Fund Management

FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE

Henderson Smaller Companies Inv Trust

Tuesday 14 October

INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE

Kenmare Resources (CDI)

QUARTERLY PAYMENT DATE

Duke Capital Limited

INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS

Consumer Price Index (GER) (07:00)

Current Account (GER) (13:30)

ZEW Survey (EU) - Economic Sentiment (10:00)

ZEW Survey (GER) - Current Situation (10:00)

FINALS

Aptamer Group, Target Healthcare Reit Ltd

AGMS

Fadel Partners, Inc (Di) , Marechale Capital , Predator Oil & Gas Holdings NPV

TRADING ANNOUNCEMENTS

IntegraFin Holding, THG

UK ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS

Claimant Count Rate (07:00)

ZEW Survey (EU) - Economic Sentiment (10:00)

FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE

Cavendish

Wednesday 15 October

INTERIMS

Acg Metals Limited Cls A Npv (DI), Sanderson Design Group

INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE

Cairn Homes (CDI), DFI Retail Group Holdings Limited (Bermuda Regd), DFI Retail Group Holdings Limited (Jersey Reg), DFI Retail Group Holdings Limited (Sing.Reg), Hongkong Land Holding Ltd. (Bermuda), Hongkong Land Holding Ltd. (Jersey), Hongkong Land Holding Ltd. (Sing.Reg), Jardine Matheson Holdings Ltd (Singapore Reg), Jardine Matheson Holdings Ltd. (Bermuda), Jardine Matheson Holdings Ltd. (Jersey), Mandarin Oriental International (Bermuda), Mandarin Oriental International (Jersey), Mandarin Oriental International (Singapore)

QUARTERLY PAYMENT DATE

Middlefield Canadian Income PCC

INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS

Consumer Price Index (US) (13:30)

Crude Oil Inventories (US) (15:30)

Industrial Production (EU) (10:00)

MBA Mortgage Applications (US) (12:00)

Wholesale Price Index (GER) (07:00)

GMS

Empresaria Group, Genedrive

IMSS

Rathbones Group

SPECIAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE

DFI Retail Group Holdings Limited (Bermuda Regd), DFI Retail Group Holdings Limited (Jersey Reg), DFI Retail Group Holdings Limited (Sing.Reg)

AGMS

Rank Group

Thursday 16 October

INTERIMS

Whitbread

INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE

Aviva, Gamma Communications, Hammerson

INTERIM EX-DIVIDEND DATE

Anglo-Eastern Plantations, Animalcare Group, Avation, Coats Group, Howden Joinery Group, ITV, Maven Renovar Vct , Next 15 Group, Persimmon, Senior, Spirax Group

QUARTERLY EX-DIVIDEND DATE

JpMorgan China Growth & Income

INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS

Balance of Trade (EU) (10:00)

Business Inventories (US) (15:00)

Continuing Claims (US) (13:30)

Import and Export Price Indices (US) (13:30)

Initial Jobless Claims (US) (13:30)

Producer Price Index (US) (13:30)

Retail Sales (US) (13:30)

SPECIAL EX-DIVIDEND DATE

Maven Renovar Vct

AGMS

Fusion Antibodies , Golden Rock Global, Insig AI

TRADING ANNOUNCEMENTS

Mondi, Oxford Instruments

UK ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS

Balance of Trade (07:00)

Gross Domestic Product (07:00)

Index of Services (07:00)

Industrial Production (07:00)

Manufacturing Production (07:00)

FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE

IG Group Holdings, National Westminster 9%pf, South32 Limited (DI)

FINAL EX-DIVIDEND DATE

Diageo, Hays, Smiths Group

Friday 17 October

INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE

Braime Group, Braime Group 'A'NON.V , Chesnara, Costain Group, Fevertree Drinks, International Workplace Group, Midwich Group, PPHE Hotel Group Ltd, Public Policy Holding Company, Inc.(DI), Somero Enterprises Inc. (DI)

QUARTERLY PAYMENT DATE

Real Estate Credit Investments Ltd, Regional REIT Limited NPV

INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS

Building Permits (US) (13:30)

Capacity Utilisation (US) (14:15)

Housing Starts (US) (13:30)

Industrial Production (US) (14:15)

ANNUAL REPORT

James Halstead

SPECIAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE

System1 Group

EGMS

Huatai Securities Co., Ltd GDR (Each Repr 10 A Shs RMB1) (Reg S)

AGMS

Twentyfour Income Fund Limited Ord Red

TRADING ANNOUNCEMENTS

Victorian Plumbing Group

FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE

Baltic Classifieds Group, Foresight Ventures Vct, Frenkel Topping Group, System1 Group, Van Elle Holdings



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