By Benjamin Chiou
Date: Monday 28 Oct 2024
LONDON (ShareCast) - (Sharecast News) - Shore Capital has reiterated its 'buy' rating for Trainline after the bookings platform upgraded its full-year guidance on Monday, predicting significant upside for the stock from current levels.
Trainline's shares were up 10% at 370.4p by 1052 GMT after the company said it expects net ticket sales to increase by 12-14% in the year to 28 February 2025, up from a previous target of 8-12% growth, while revenue growth is tipped to be 11-13%, up from 7-11% previously.
The upwards revisions come after a 14% increase in net ticket sales to £3.0bn in the first half ended 31 August, with revenues rising 17% to £229m. Adjusted EBITDA meanwhile rose 44% to £82m.
"We are pleased to see the update this morning and continue to see Trainline as a dominant player within the UK rail network, set to benefit from the increasing digitalisation demand from consumers," Shore Capital said in a research note.
"Beyond this, we believe the international opportunity, which is building, is not factored into the current group multiple."
The broker said Trainline trades at an enterprise value-to-EBITDA ratio of just 10, a discount to the wider UK platform sector despite expectations of strong double-digit adjusted profit growth in the coming years.
Shore Capital's fair value calculation for the stock is 465p, 38% ahead of Friday's closing price of 337p.
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| Currency | UK Pounds |
| Share Price | 236.20p |
| Change Today | -4.20p |
| % Change | -1.75 % |
| 52 Week High | 434.80p |
| 52 Week Low | 236.20p |
| Volume | 980,824 |
| Shares Issued | 405.96m |
| Market Cap | £958.87m |
| Beta | 1.05 |
| RiskGrade | 288 |
| Value |
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| Price Trend |
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| Income | ![]() |
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| No dividends found |
| Time | Volume / Share Price |
| 16:35 | 2,439 @ 236.20p |
| 16:35 | 58,137 @ 236.20p |
| 16:35 | 5,544 @ 236.20p |
| 16:35 | 515,945 @ 236.20p |
| 16:35 | 532 @ 236.20p |
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